Back to Exploding Totem Poles
by Raymond M. Coulombe
NASA released their plans for the space program and it's back to
the future. Their new plan looks an awful lot like Apollo. What's the
great big innovation? Well . . . it's bigger. Oh yeah . . . we can use
some parts from the shuttle. Those worked out pretty good most of the
time.
NASA's director also admitted that the whole shuttle program and
the International Space Station were mistakes.
Ok then, so basically, the last 30 years of NASA's efforts have
been a waste of time. Then there is the little thing about the money
they spent. Now, we are supposed to assume that this time NASA has got
it right?
Let's examine exactly what NASA has been doing. The idea of the
shuttle was a good one. The original plan, and I'm dating myself here,
was to have a space truck. This vehicle was supposed to be reusable,
cheap to run, not require a huge ground crew and be not much harder
to service than an airplane.
That's not the vehicle they built. For goodness sake, it's made
out of ceramic! It's a piece of delicate china. It's a crock. It requires
specialized craftsmen to meticulously piece together each individual
tile, all pretty much different from each other. The smallest imperfection
and it turns into confetti scattered across Texas! Doesn't sound much
like a truck to me.
Promising designs, some quite cheap, were discarded along the way.
It's a long long sad tale, too long for this editorial. Even now, things
are being tested to death with nothing moving forward. One can't but
come to the conclusion that NASA wants to fail. Do they want to keep
the average Joe out of space?
Rutan proved that it didn't take magic to get out of the gravity
well. He did it on the cheap, with a vehicle that probably took less
service than your average jetliner. Is NASA going to learn from Rutan?
Of course not. The money is going to go where it always has gone, to
the big contractors with comfortable relationships with the government.
The government seems to reward failure. We spent billions of dollars
on the shuttle and the International Space Station, and it was a mistake.
Now the plan is to give billions of dollars to the same bunch of companies
that assisted with the big mistakes directed by the agency that directed
the big mistakes. No big deal for our government. After all this is
the same government that gave more money to the agencies that failed
during the destruction of the Twin Towers. Not only were they given
more money and power, the people involved were promoted. In government,
failure is no hindrance to getting a promotion and a raise.
Now we are going back to the same ideas behind Apollo. The best
that can be said for Apollo is that it did work, after a fashion. We
did get to the moon. Of course, the way we got to the moon didn't establish
any infrastructure in space. Apollo was a dead end. It was expensive,
and a waste of resources that could have been better used for building
stepping stones. We probably should have built a space station that
would have served as a jumping off point for the exploration of the
whole solar system. The current space station really isn't designed
for that sort of thing.
Keep an eye on the Chinese. Study the design of their manned space
craft. Look at the jump from their first manned effort to the current
project. It's a big leap. They are getting a handle on the technology.
The problems aren't technical. The problem NASA has had is a lack of
vision. I'm curious to see what China's vision will be.
I believe that man's destiny is in space. It's the only way to grow
beyond the limits of our single planet. The hope for mankind is that
we get into space in a big way and do it reliably and cheaply. NASA
has really dropped the ball on this one. The new hope is that private
companies may develop technologies that do the job. Also, keep an eye
on China.
I think I'll learn Mandarin. It might be the language of space-faring
people, and I don't' want to be left out.